血清D-二聚体水平对急性主动脉夹层患者院内死亡的预测价值

    Prognostic value of D-dimer levels for in-hospital mortality in patients with acute aortic dissection

    • 摘要:
      目的 分析血清D-二聚体(D-dimer)水平在急性A型主动脉夹层(ATAAD)和急性B型主动脉夹层(ATBAD)患者院内死亡预测中的价值。
      方法 纳入 2013年1月~2021年12月于广西壮族自治区人民医院胸痛中心确诊的349例急性主动脉夹层(AAD)患者,使用X-tile软件分别确定ATAAD和ATBAD患者D-dimer水平的最佳截断值,进而将患者分为高D-dimer组及低D-dimer组。绘制限制性立方样条(RCS)曲线和生存曲线(Kaplan-Meier, KM曲线),分析D-dimer水平与AAD患者院内死亡的相关性。单因素COX回归分析D-dimer不同水平与患者预后关系,将有意义变量均纳入多因素COX回归分析确定独立的预后因素。构建多因素COX比例风险回归模型,绘制预后列线图。绘制ROC曲线下面积(AUC)评估模型预测效能。
      结果 在ATAAD患者中,与D-dimer < 7.7 mg/L组比较,D-dimer ≥ 7.7 mg/L组背痛比例高,尿素、尿酸水平高(均P<0.05),白细胞水平高,中性粒细胞水平高,院内死亡率高(均P<0.01), 血小板、淋巴细胞水平低(均P<0.01)。在ATBAD患者中,与D-dimer < 2.4 mg/L组比较,D-dimer ≥ 2.4 mg/L组血红蛋白与血小板水平低(均P<0.05),胸腔积液比例高,尿素、白细胞、中性粒细胞水平高(均P<0.01),红细胞、淋巴细胞水平低(P<0.01)。高D-dimer组ATAAD患者具有更高的院内死亡率(P<0.01),不同D-dimer水平组的ATBAD患者院内死亡率无统计学差异。高水平D-dimer( ≥ 7.7 mg/L)(HR=3.40,95% CI:1.28~9.05)、入院时肢体灌注不良(HR=9.23,95% CI:2.76~30.93)及饮酒(HR=5.64,95% CI:1.91~16.67)是ATAAD患者院内死亡独立危险因素。AUC评估模型对ATAAD患者院内死亡的预测显示:14 d 和30 d的AUC分别为0.809(95%CI:0.740~0.878) 和0.793(95%CI:0.731~0.855)。
      结论 D-dimer水平的升高与急性主动脉夹层患者的院内死亡率显著相关,尤其是在ATAAD患者中,D-dimer水平 ≥ 7.7mg/L可作为院内死亡的独立危险因素。这一发现对临床AAD患者的风险评估和预后具有重要意义。

       

      Abstract:
      AIM To investigate the prognostic value of serum D-dimer levels in predicting in-hospital mortality in patients with acute type A aortic dissection (ATAAD) and acute type B aortic dissection (ATBAD).
      METHODS A total of 349 patients diagnosed with acute aortic dissection at the Chest Pain Center of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region People’s Hospital between January 2013 and December 2021 were included in this study. The optimal cutoff value of D-dimer was determined using X-tile software, which subsequently facilitated the stratification of patients into high and low D-dimer groups. Restrictive cubic spline (RCS) and Kaplan-Meier survival curves for different D-dimer levels were utilized to assess the predictive value of D-dimer in in-hospital mortality of ATAAD patients. Univariate COX regression analysis was performed to evaluate the relationship between different levels of D-dimer and patient outcomes. Significant variables were then included in a multivariate COX regression analysis to identify independent prognostic factors. A multivariate COX proportional hazards regression model was constructed and prognostic nomograms were developed. The predictive performance of the model was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC).
      RESULTS In ATAAD patients, compared with the D-dimer < 7.7 mg/L group, the D-dimer ≥ 7.7 mg/L group had a higher proportion of back pain, higher levels of urea and uric acid (all P<0.05), higher levels of white blood cells and neutrophils, higher in-hospital mortality rate (all P<0.01), and lower levels of platelets and lymphocytes (all P<0.01). In ATBAD patients, compared with the D-dimer < 2.4 mg/L group, the D-dimer ≥ 2.4 mg/L group had lower levels of hemoglobin and platelets (all P<0.05), higher proportion of pleural effusion, higher levels of urea, white blood cells, and neutrophils (all P<0.01), and lower levels of red blood cells and lymphocytes (P<0.01). ATAAD patients with high D-dimer levels had a higher in-hospital mortality rate (P<0.01), and there was no statistically significant difference in in-hospital mortality rate among ATBAD patients with different D-dimer levels. High levels of D-dimer (≥ 7.7 mg/L) (HR=3.40, 95% CI: 1.28~9.05), limb hypoperfusion upon admission (HR=9.23, 95% CI: 2.76~30.93), and alcohol consumption (HR=5.64, 95% CI: 1.91~16.67) are independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality in ATAAD patients. The AUC evaluation model predicts in-hospital mortality in ATAAD patients, with AUC values of 0.809 (95% CI: 0.740~0.878) and 0.793 (95% CI: 0.731~0.855) at 14 and 30 days, respectively.
      CONCLUSION An elevation in D-dimer levels is significantly associated with increased in-hospital mortality in patients with acute aortic dissection, particularly in ATAAD patients where a D-dimer level ≥7.7mg/L can be considered as an independent risk factor for in-hospital mortality. These findings provide a crucial marker for risk assessment in the clinical management of acute aortic dissection patients.

       

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